Polish & English football 2010/11

[Bester]

Thursday, 29 Jul 2010, 18:00

Ruch - Austria Vienna (2) 1.90+ @ Euro, 1.88 asia, 1/10 ( look at my singature)

Ruch have to be floating on air passing through the previous round, that was cutting it a little fine. Ruch have shown nothing, was not a better side at all, especially at home, that just thanks to the goalkeeper they did not lose 2nd leg of 2nd round. Polish team achieved two draws ( 1-1 at and 0-0 at home) against Maltanese Cup winner Valletta FC. In the first round it was not even better vs. Shakhter Karagandy ( KAZ) 3-1 in total, very boring and not effective soccer. Ruch during the transfer window lost two key players: their captain Baran (def) and best striker Niedzielan, another reg. Scherfchen has gone away too. By contrast they brought one striker Olszar (good one but not as Niedzielan was) and two defs. but in total they did not lost that much to be honest. While we are waiting for league starts, Austria Vienna have played 2 matches already and won both of them - so they are for sure in a better matches rhythm.The last one was winning over Linz 4-3 ( the lead 3-0) but what I know they were playing without two reg. defenders - which will be back on this clash. I have no doubt that Austria is the better side. Two years ago they played vs. another polish team Lech ( who was in a great form and had much better players and it ended 1-1) and I find them as nice offensive team.If Ruch don't improve their current soccer by Thursday it will finish with our lose with ease.

[Bester]

Tomorrow, 29 Jul 2010, 20:00

Wisla - Karabakh Agdam ( Karabakh +1.75) 1.76 @ Pinnacle 1/10

Wisla have been and still are very active side in the transfer window - they are hiring many new guys, but not much quality comes into the team though.They are suffering from the want of top-class defenders. Three regular ones have left, right def Pablo Alvarez and two absolutelly keys ( both central defs) Glowacki and Marcelo. So at the moment Wisla have one good Diaz (left) and 36yo Cleber (central, who is to end his carrer after the round, but he is not fit and may be out to this match, 50/50), Kowalski ( central, he has been brought by Wisla as bench player in fact) and he will start and probably Czikosz as right def ( acquest ). The whole defense looks like a big question mark.
In 2nd round Wisla played to lithuanian semi-amateurs FK Szawle (full of juniors) and outplayed them 2-0 and 5-0 at home - but it is not any achievement looking to rival's quality.Wisla have good ofensive line with some good names however in the league season out of 15 home games they have beaten the line 1.75 three times only ( two of them were covered just in 1/2). Neutral venue will the location of the match, however it is not such a disavdentage as Wisla used to play in spring there.
Not much aware of Karabakh side but they are quite offensive team, with ok (on that level) second line. Wisla will be leading the game and with their not best defensive there might comes up a space for some counterattacts.Nice to remind that two years ago Karabakh eliminated Rosenborg from 3nd round.
It's the beginning of the season, it should be kinda hard task to beat the handicap by Wisla - they will win but there in so that big space, I reckon.

[Bester]

Today, 29 Jul 2010, 20:45

Jagiellonia - Aris --> OVER 2.25, 2.25 @ SBO, 1/10

I don't buy this raif tendency that it's getting to be an easy underish game. Jagiellona make their debut in European area, and they have nothing to lose, they are not a team that will scare and play for 0-0. It's a sure fact that if they can do anything it has to happen here,in Poland as in Greece it may be hard like hell, in front of fanatic support of Aris. Aris is one of most overish team in their league, especially with quite poor defense and especially when arriving away.Jagiellonia have also nice ofensive players and with good results in preparations they did, Jagiellonia should get some nice confidence. IMO, both teams will score today.Going against the market

[Bester]

3/3 today, 1-3, 0-1, 1-2 +2.91u

[Bester]

GKS Belchatow - Polonia Warszawa --> Polonia +0.75, 1.71 @ SBO, 1/10

Match starts at 18.00

When the season goes on we will see maybe +0.25 in the best way ( I think it will be +0). No way this handicap is repeated later on. GKS have builded completely new team with 12 players left and 6 joined. There is a new coach too, very young 33 and inexperienced. What is more today their best scorer Nowak and key off midf Centarski won't play due to health issues - both big blow ofc thats why it's hard for them to score sth today. Polonia have brought many really good players into ( e.g. 3 regulers from Belchatow) and some others. They might be one od top4 strenght in the league this season.
If it was not a friendly game I'd definitelly put 2units on it.

[Bester]

0-1, +0.71

[Bester]

Lech Poznan - Sparta Prague --> Lech +0.25, 1.66 @ Pinnacle, 1/10

It's gonna be very tigh match with no favourite. Sparta have in hand 1-0 from 1st match so the draw is ok score for them. In previous season Sparta had 9 draws out of 15 matches. No impt missings for them. Lech used to be strong team in front of their fans, and it's a real task to beat them there. Sparta is probably some better in skills, polish team never gives up and 1st clash till 70minute was enough good by Lech.There are some scoring problems lately but draw in my eyes is very obtainable today.

[Bester]

Lech Poznan - Sparta Prague 0-1, -1u